The U.S. men’s national team is on the brink of advancing from the third round of World Cup Qualifying in CONCACAF, and there is just one more game left to determine the six teams who will fight for three spots at the 2018 World Cup via the hexagonal, with the fourth place team playing in a playoff. So far, Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama and Trinidad and Tobago are through. The final two spots will be either USA/Guatemala or Honduras/Canada.

First, the standings for Group C:

Trinidad and Tobago is through, while USA and Guatemala compete for the final spot. Now, the U.S. can still win the group as it plays T&T on Tuesday.

Here’s what has to happen for the U.S. to get through after beating St. Vincent and the Grenadines 6-0 on Friday:

1) The U.S. can advance with a win or a draw, but a win would see the team win the group.

2) A loss could also see the U.S. goes through, assuming Guatemala fails to beat St. Vincent or doesn’t overcome the goal differential which looks impossible. USA is +13 and Guatemala is +1. So really, only blowouts of stunning proportions would see the U.S. miss out.

3) This pretty much means the USMNT will be in the hexagonal unless something absolutely crazy happens. For example, if the U.S. somehow loses 3-0 to Trinidad and Tobago at home, and Guatemala beats St. Vincent 10-0, then Guatemala is through. It’s safe to say, that isn’t happening.

Rest easy, USA fans.

Source: CBS Sports Headlines / The disaster scenario where the U.S. could be eliminated from World Cup on Tuesday