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There was a major shakeup in the College Football Playoff and New Year’s Six bowl projections this week as some of the top teams fell by the wayside.

Notre Dame and Oklahoma dropped out of the playoff race with a second loss for each. Both teams have fallen out of the New Year’s Six projections as well.

For Oklahoma, this could be a lesson in nonconference over-scheduling; however, I’m not sure that is the case here. The Sooners’ losses were to very good teams, but they were not competitive in those games. It feels more like Oklahoma was exposed. This schedule simply may have given us a chance to learn that fact earlier than we might have otherwise.

TCU replaces Oklahoma as the projected Big 12 champion and league representative in the Sugar Bowl. The Big 12 race should be fun to watch. Any of five teams could win the league, and it wouldn’t be a surprise.

Houston also suffers as the expectations plummet for the Sooners. Now an undefeated season may not be enough to make the playoff, even though Louisville still looks like a pretty formidable opponent. Those teams play in nine weeks on Nov. 17.

Ohio State is projected to replace Houston in the playoff, and the Cougars are now slotted for the Cotton Bowl. Michigan State replaces the Buckeyes as the Big Ten representative in the Rose Bowl.

College Football Playoff projections
BowlDateLocationMatchup
Peach BowlDec. 31Atlanta, Ga.(1) Alabama vs. (4) Stanford
Fiesta BowlDec. 31Glendale, Ariz.(2) Clemson vs. (3) Ohio State

The most embarrassing loss for a ranked team Saturday came when five-time defending FCS champion North Dakota State knocked off Iowa in Iowa City. We shouldn’t be too surprised, though. It was the sixth straight win for the Bison over an FBS foe, though none of those previous victims were ranked like the Hawkeyes. Perhaps Iowa was exposed today as well.

The Hawkeyes have fallen out of the New Year’s Six projections and have been replaced by Louisville, though not in the same bowl. Florida State, despite getting pounded by the Cards, is still projected as a New Year’s Six participant, but Louisville has taken the Seminoles’ spot in the Orange Bowl.

New Year’s Six bowl projections
BowlDateLocationMatchup
Sugar BowlJan. 2New Orleans, La.TCU (Big 12) vs. Ole Miss (SEC)
Rose BowlJan. 2Pasadena, Calif.Michigan State (Big Ten) vs. UCLA (Pac-12)
Cotton BowlJan. 2Arlington, Tex.Houston (At-large) vs. Florida State (At-large)
Orange BowlDec. 30Miami, Fla.Louisville (ACC) vs. Georgia

There are still four spots in the bowl projections for teams expected to finish 5-7. Those teams are Auburn, Utah State, Missouri and Boston College.

Check out Jerry Palm’s complete bowl projections by clicking here.


Source: CBS Sports Headlines / Bowl projections: Ohio State now playoff bound, but Louisville has work to do